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Prediction of Displacements in Unstable Areas Using a Neural Model
Authors:E. Binaghi  M. Boschetti  P.A. Brivio  I. Gallo  F. Pergalani  A. Rampini
Affiliation:(1) Istituto per le Tecnologie Informatiche Multimediali, Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche, via Ampére 56, 20131 Milan, Italy;(2) Dipartimento di Ingegneria Strutturale, Politecnico di Milano, p.le Leonardo da Vinci 32, 20133 Milan, Italy
Abstract:
In pipeline management the accurate prediction of weak displacements is a crucial factor in drawing up a prevention policy since the accumulation of these displacements over a period of several years can lead to situations of high risk. This work addresses the specific problem related to the prediction of displacements induced by rainfall in unstable areas, of known geology, and crossed by underground pipelines. A neural model has been configured which learns of displacements from instrumented sites (where inclinometric measurements are available) and is able to generalise to other sites not equipped with inclinometers.
Keywords:unstable areas  lifeline  multilayer perceptron neural network  prediction  multisource data analysis  rainfall
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