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统计评估人工增雨效果的一些问题研究
引用本文:严采蘩,陈万奎.统计评估人工增雨效果的一些问题研究[J].应用气象学报,2001,12(Z1):80-87.
作者姓名:严采蘩  陈万奎
作者单位:中国气象科学研究院,
基金项目:本文得到新疆石油局和国家科技攻关(96-020-01-05)课题项目资助
摘    要:雨量是大气降水的量度,还是人工增雨效果评估的重要参量。由于大气降水天气系统出现频率、雨区形状、大小、降雨持续时间、雨区中雨强分布等各年、月不同,被雨区覆盖的雨量站的雨量也是不断地变化的;站间雨量将不是一一对应的确定关系,而呈现统计相关关系。相关的程度又受多种因素制约,其中站点间的距离、降雨时间长度是重要因子。因此,研究它们对相关的影响对于人工增雨效果评估的科学性有十分重要的作用。

关 键 词:统计  评估  人工增雨效果
修稿时间:2000年10月25

ISSUES EXISTED IN THE STATISTICAL ASSESSMENT OF ARTIFICIAL RAINFALL EFFECT
Yan Caifan,Chen Wankui.ISSUES EXISTED IN THE STATISTICAL ASSESSMENT OF ARTIFICIAL RAINFALL EFFECT[J].Quarterly Journal of Applied Meteorology,2001,12(Z1):80-87.
Authors:Yan Caifan  Chen Wankui
Abstract:Rainfall amount is used to measure precipitation and also to evaluate the precipitation enhancement effect as an important parameter. For the monthly and annual differences of many factors, such as a precipitation system's frequency, an area's shape and size, precipitation duration, intensity distribution and so on, the station amount is always varied. The relationship between different stations' precipitation restricted by many factors, mainly by the distance between stations and the precipitation lasting time, is uncertain, but there exists a statistical dependency; therefore, the study of the influence of distance and lasting time on the correlativity plays an important role in the scientific assessment of artificial rain enhancement effect.
Keywords:Precipitation enhancement effect  Statistical dependence  Effect assessment
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