| 晋城市致洪暴雨落区预报系统 |
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| 引用本文： | 常素萍,刘强军.晋城市致洪暴雨落区预报系统[J].气象科技,2004,32(Z1):54-57. |
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| 作者姓名： | 常素萍 刘强军 |
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| 作者单位： | 山西省晋城市气象局,晋城,048000 |
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| 基金项目： | 山西省气象局 2 0 0 1年青年基金项目资助 |
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| 摘 要： | 致洪暴雨落区预报系统是利用差动定量输送法对动力和热力物理量进行贡献计算 ,得出暴雨落区短期 2 4h预报 ,同时应用动力螺旋轴法、低空急流轴与暴雨云团配合法及雷达回波跟踪法制作 12h、6h、3h的短时、超短时、临近暴雨落区预报 ,逐级向下订正 ,最终制作出致洪暴雨落区预报图。该预报系统在 2 0 0 2和 2 0 0 3年晋城市暴雨落区预报中应用效果良好。
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| 关 键 词： | MICAPS系统 差动定量输送 致洪暴雨落区预报 |
| 修稿时间： | 2004年5月10日 |
Area Forecasting System of Torrential Rainfall in Jincheng |
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| Chang Suping,Liu,Qiangjun.Area Forecasting System of Torrential Rainfall in Jincheng[J].Meteorological Science and Technology,2004,32(Z1):54-57. |
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| Authors: | Chang Suping Liu Qiangjun |
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| Abstract: | By utilizing the differential quantitative transporting method to calculate the dynamical and thermal contributions, the 24-h, 6-h and 3-h location forecasts of a torrential rain was made and finally a torrential rain location forecast map was worked out by means of the methods of dynamic spiral-axis, lower-level jet axis combining with the heavy rain cloud cluster and radar-echo tracing. The system played an important role and performed well in forecasting torrential rainfall in 2002 and 2003 |
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| Keywords: | MICAPS torrential rains location forecasting |
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