黄河流域兰西城市群工业集聚与污染集聚的空间交互影响

城市群是黄河流域高质量发展的主要载体,理清城市群工业集聚与污染集聚的空间交互影响对城市群工业协同发展和污染联防联控具有现实意义。基于空间统计方法和空间联立方程模型,利用2010—2017年黄河流域兰西城市群41个县（区）数据分析工业集聚与污染集聚的空间交互影响。结果表明：工业集聚与污染集聚的空间格局均具有非均衡性和“路径依赖”。工业集聚与污染集聚之间存在“荣辱与共”的交互影响,工业集聚既促进污染集聚,污染集聚也促进工业集聚。工业集聚与污染集聚均具有空间依赖性,相邻县（区）之间的工业集聚与污染集聚存在空间交互影响。人口密度和经济水平既促进工业集聚,也促进污染集聚;环境规制既抑制工业集聚,也抑制污染集聚;政府干预、市场化率和投资水平促进工业集聚;技术水平抑制污染集聚,但产业结构却促进污染集聚。研究认为,工业协同发展是污染联防联控的根本,形成工业共建和污染共治的空间合力是黄河流域城市群高质量发展的必然选择。

The spatial correlation and interaction between industrial agglomeration and pollution agglomeration of Lanzhou-Xining urban agglomeration in the Yellow River Basin

Urban agglomeration is the main carrier of ecological protection and high-quality development of the Yellow River Basin. Therefore, the analysis of the spatial relationship between industrial agglomeration and pollution agglomeration of the urban agglomeration has a practical significance to the coordinated development of industry and joint prevention and control of pollution. Based on the spatial statistical methods and spatial simultaneous equation model, this paper analyzes the interaction between industrial agglomeration and pollution agglomeration by using the data of 41 counties in the Lanzhou-Xining urban agglomeration in the Yellow River Basin from 2010 to 2017. The results show that the spatial patterns of industrial agglomeration and pollution agglomeration are unbalanced and "path-dependent". Industrial agglomeration and pollution agglomeration between counties are characterized by "shared weal and woe". Industrial agglomeration can accelerate pollution agglomeration, and pollution agglomeration in turn can intensify industrial agglomeration. Both industrial agglomeration and pollution agglomeration have spatial dependence. There is spatial interaction between industrial agglomeration and pollution agglomeration between adjacent counties. Population density and economy accelerate not only industrial agglomeration, but also pollution agglomeration; environmental regulation inhibits both industrial agglomeration and pollution agglomeration; government intervention, marketization rate and investment level accelerate industrial agglomeration; technological level inhibits pollution agglomeration, but industrial structure accelerates pollution agglomeration. It is concluded that the coordinated industrial development is the fundamental basis of joint prevention of pollution. It is an inevitable choice to construct a spatial synergy of industrial co-construction and pollution co-governance for the ecological protection and high-quality development of urban agglomeration in the Yellow River Basin.