| 气候变化国家评估报告(Ⅰ):中国气候变化的历史和未来趋势 |
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| 引用本文： | 丁一汇,任国玉,石广玉,Gong Peng,Zheng Xunhua,Zhai Panmao,Zhang De'er,Zhao Zongci,Wang Shaowu,Wang Huijun,Luo Yong,Chen Deliang,Gao Xuejie,Dai Xiaosu.气候变化国家评估报告(Ⅰ):中国气候变化的历史和未来趋势[J].气候变化研究进展,2007,3(Z1):1-5. |
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| 作者姓名： | 丁一汇 任国玉 石广玉 Gong Peng Zheng Xunhua Zhai Panmao Zhang De'er Zhao Zongci Wang Shaowu Wang Huijun Luo Yong Chen Deliang Gao Xuejie Dai Xiaosu |
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| 作者单位： | Ding Yihui（National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China）
Ren Guoyu（National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China）
Shi Guangyu（Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China）
Gong Peng（Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China）
Zheng Xunhua（Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China）
Zhai Panmao（Department of Forecasting Services and Disaster Mitigation, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China）
Zhang De'er（National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China）
Zhao Zongci（National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China）
Wang Shaowu（The School of Physics, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China）
Wang Huijun（Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China）
Luo Yong（National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China）
Chen Deliang（National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China）
Gao Xuejie（National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China）
Dai Xiaosu（Department of Scientific and Technological Development, China Meteorological Administration , Beijing 100081, China） |
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| 基金项目： | 科技部资助项目;国家资助项目 |
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| 摘 要： | The climate change in China shows a considerable similarity to the global change, though there still exist some significant differences between them. In the context of the global warming, the annual mean surface air temperature in the country as a whole has significantly increased for the past 50 years and 100 years, with the range of temperature increase slightly greater than that in the globe. The change in precipitation trends for the last 50 and 100 years was not significant, but since 1956 it has assumed a weak increasing trend. The frequency and intensity of main extreme weather and climate events have also undergone a significant change. The researches show that the atmospheric CO2 concentration in China has continuously increased and the sum of positive radiative forcings produced by greenhouse gases is probably responsible for the country-wide climate warming for the past 100 years, especially for the past 50 years. The projections of climate change for the 21st century using global and regional climate models indicate that, in the future 20-100 years, the surface air temperature will continue to increase and the annual precipitation also has an increasing trend for most parts of the country.
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| 关 键 词： | climate change surface air temperature precipitation climate models China |
| 文章编号： | 1673-1719(2007)Suppl.-0001-05 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007年3月8日 |
China's National Assessment Report on Climate Change (Ⅰ): Climate change in China and the future trend |
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| Ding Yihui,Ren Guoyu,Shi Guangyu,Gong Peng,Zheng Xunhua,Zhai Panmao,Zhang De'er,Zhao Zongci,Wang Shaowu,Wang Huijun,Luo Yong,Chen Deliang,Gao Xuejie,Dai Xiaosu.China''''s National Assessment Report on Climate Change (Ⅰ): Climate change in China and the future trend[J].Advances in Climate Change,2007,3(Z1):1-5. |
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| Authors: | Ding Yihui Ren Guoyu Shi Guangyu Gong Peng Zheng Xunhua Zhai Panmao Zhang De'er Zhao Zongci Wang Shaowu Wang Huijun Luo Yong Chen Deliang Gao Xuejie Dai Xiaosu |
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| Abstract: | The climate change in China shows a considerable similarity to the global change, though there still exist some significant differences between them. In the context of the global warming, the annual mean surface air temperature in the country as a whole has significantly increased for the past 50 years and 100 years, with the range of temperature increase slightly greater than that in the globe. The change in precipitation trends for the last 50 and 100 years was not significant, but since 1956 it has assumed a weak increasing trend. The frequency and intensity of main extreme weather and climate events have also undergone a significant change. The researches show that the atmospheric CO2 concentration in China has continuously increased and the sum of positive radiative forcings produced by greenhouse gases is probably responsible for the country-wide climate warming for the past 100 years, especially for the past 50 years. The projections of climate change for the 21st century using global and regional climate models indicate that, in the future 20-100 years, the surface air temperature will continue to increase and the annual precipitation also has an increasing trend for most parts of the country. |
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| Keywords: | climate change surface air temperature precipitation climate models China |
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