| 登陆台风的多层递阶预报 |
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| 引用本文： | 冯利华.登陆台风的多层递阶预报[J].海洋预报,1999,16(1):29-34. |
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| 作者姓名： | 冯利华 |
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| 作者单位： | 浙江师范大学地理系 |
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| 摘 要： | 多层递阶预报是动态系统的新型统计预报理论。由于它把动态系统看成是一个时变参数系统，因而与客观实际较为符合，预报误差也相对较小，利用它来进行台风预报具有一定的实用价值。
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| 关 键 词： | 登陆台风，动态系统，时变参数，多层递阶预报 |
MULTILAYER RECURRENCE FORECAST OF LANDING TYPHOON |
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| Feng,Lihua.MULTILAYER RECURRENCE FORECAST OF LANDING TYPHOON[J].Marine Forecasts,1999,16(1):29-34. |
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| Authors: | Feng Lihua |
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| Abstract: | The multilayer recurrence forecast is a statistical forecast theory of a dynamical system. Duto regarding new type of the dynamical system as a time dependent parameter system, it conforms relatively reality and forecast error is relatively small. It is valuable when used to forecast typhoon. |
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| Keywords: | Landing typhoon Dynamical system Time dependent parameter Multilayer recurrence forecast |
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