山西暴雨云团的卫星云图统计分析及预报研究

本文统计分析了影响山西省的暴雨云团。在分类的基础上,分别讨论它们的发生区、生命史、移动路径等,同时还分析了云团的云顶温度与3小时降水强度的相关性。利用已取得的统计分析结果,结合部分物理量和雷达回波资料,得出了一个甚短期(6小时)暴雨预报的方法。经试用,结果是令人满意的。

A statistical analysis of the rainstorm image over Shanxi Province and its forecasting

Based on the classification of, rainsform image affecting Shanxi Province, its ge-nesis regions, life cycles and tracks are discussed, and the relation between the temperature of cloud top and 3-hours precipitation intencity is. analysed. Using this statistical result, some physical parameters and radar echoes, a method of 6-hour rainstorm forecast is obtained, The forecast accuracy is satifactory.