滇中城市经济圈可持续发展探讨——基于P-E-R区域匹配模型

承载力分析是对社会可持续发展能力评价的有效指标,朱宝树教授提出的P-E-R区域匹配模型通过相对经济承载力和相对资源承载力的分析可具体考察各区域内人口与经济、资源承载力3者的关系,进而阐释区域社会可持续发展的能力。滇中城市经济圈各地相对经济承载力和相对资源承载力各有不同,因而所存在的可持续发展问题各异。影响滇中城市经济圈可持续发展的问题主要是人口压力大、资源环境承载力脆弱、经济发展滞后、产业支撑力不够等。因此,针对这些影响滇中城市经济圈可持续发展的问题,制定一些合理的相关人口政策和经济政策对滇中城市经济圈的可持续发展是有必要的。

THE ANALYSIS OF SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT ISSUES OF CENTRAL YUNNAN URBAN ECONOMIC CIRCLE BASED ON AREA MATCHING MODEL OF P-E-R

The load capacity analysis is a kind of effective index that can make a contribution to evaluating the ability of social sustainable development.The P-E-R area matching model presented by professor Baoshu Zhu can be used for investigating the relationship among population,economy and resource bearing capacity in different zones and then illustrating the ability of regional sustainable development of society by analysing relative economic bearing capacity and relative resource bearing capacity.Different relative economic bearing capacity and relative resource bearing capacity of Central Yunnan Urban Economic Circle cause the difference in existing problems of sustainable development.The factors that influence the sustainable development issues of Central Yunnan Urban Economic Circle are huge population pressure,weak resource environmental bearing capacity,economic development lag,weak industry support and so on.So,Aiming at these situations,it is necessary for sustainable development of Central Yunnan Urban Economic Circle to establish some reasonable population policies and economic policies.