| 深层地温在汛期旱涝趋势预报中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 张霞,林丽,等.深层地温在汛期旱涝趋势预报中的应用[J].河南气象,2002(2):8-10. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张霞 林丽 |
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| 作者单位： | 郑州市气象局 河南郑州450005
(张霞，林丽，闫惠芳，张永兰，李荣)，郑州市气象局 河南郑州450005(白宇) |
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| 摘 要： | 根据50年汛期降水资料，对郑州地区旱涝进行分级，并分析了其气候特征；利用1981年以来不同浓度地温资料，统计分析了与汛期降水的相关关系，进而选用显著相关因子建立汛期总降水量的多元回归方程。经检验，不仅其历史拟合率比较高，而且对1999年和2000年的试预报也取得了较好的效果。
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| 关 键 词： | 深层地温 汛期 旱涝趋势预报 相关系 多元回归 降水资料 |
The Application of Ground Temperature to Drought and Flood Forecast in Flood Season |
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| ZHANG Xia,LIN Li,YAN Hui-fang,ZHANG Yong-lan,LI Rong,BAI Yu.The Application of Ground Temperature to Drought and Flood Forecast in Flood Season[J].Meteorology Journal of Henan,2002(2):8-10. |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Xia LIN Li YAN Hui-fang ZHANG Yong-lan LI Rong BAI Yu |
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| Abstract: | Based on the data of precipitation in zhengzhou of the past 50 years, the climate characters of drought and flood in flood season has been analyzed. By using the data of ground temperature since 1981,we have calculated the pertinence between the ground temperature and precipitation of flood season. Thus the multiple regression equation on the total precipitation in flood season was formed .In 1999 and 2000, the result of practical experiment is fine. |
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| Keywords: | Ground temperature Correlation coefficient Drought and flood in flood season Multiple regression |
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