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中国历史时期气候变化对社会发展的影响*
引用本文:方修琦,萧凌波,苏筠,郑景云,魏柱灯,尹君.中国历史时期气候变化对社会发展的影响*[J].古地理学报,2017,19(4):729-736.
作者姓名:方修琦  萧凌波  苏筠  郑景云  魏柱灯  尹君
作者单位:1.北京师范大学地理科学学部地理学院,北京 100875;2.中国人民大学清史研究所,北京 100872;3.中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所陆地表层格局与模拟重点实验室,北京 100101;4.南京信息工程大学科学技术史研究院,江苏南京 210044
基金项目:Co-funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.41371201)and the Major State Basic Research Development Program of China(973 Program)(No.2010CB950103)
摘    要:历史时期气候变化对社会发展的影响与人类适应问题,是当前全球变化领域的研究热点之一。近年来,在利用丰富的历史文献资料研究中国历史时期(特别是过去2000年时段)气候变化与人类社会相互作用的过程机理方面取得了一系列新成果。本文将其归纳为3个方面: 理论上,构建了基于粮食安全的气候影响传递过程分析框架;方法上,实现了服务于气候变化影响研究的、基于语义差异的历史社会经济序列定量重建;科学认识上,总结出“冷抑暖扬”而又福祸相依的宏观韵律。在此基础上,对未来研究需要进一步深化的方向进行了展望。

关 键 词:历史时期    气候变化    社会影响    中国  
收稿时间:15 March 2017

Social impacts of climate change on the history of China
Fang Xiuqi,Xiao Lingbo,Su Yun,Zheng Jingyun,Wei Zhudeng,Yin Jun.Social impacts of climate change on the history of China[J].Journal of Palaeogeography,2017,19(4):729-736.
Authors:Fang Xiuqi  Xiao Lingbo  Su Yun  Zheng Jingyun  Wei Zhudeng  Yin Jun
Institution:1.School of Geography,Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University,Beijing 100875;2.The Institute of Qing History,Renmin University of China,Beijing 100872;3.Key Laboratory of Land Surface Pattern and Simulation,Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research,CAS,Beijing 100101;4.Institute for the History of Science and Technology,Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology,Nanjing 210044,Jiangsu
Abstract:Social impacts of historical climate change and human adaptation are one of the hotspots in the current global change research. In recent years,utilizing the abundant historical literatures,new progress on the interaction mechanisms and processes within the human-climate-ecosystem complex in China during the past 2000 years,has been achieved. It could be summarized as follows: Firstly,a concept model of impact and response of historical climate change in China based on food security has been built;Secondly,a series of historical social-economic series on the base of semantic differential to serve the research on impacts of climate change have been quantitatively reconstructed;Thirdly,the general characteristics of the impacts of historical climate change could be summarized as negative in the cold periods and positive in the warm periods,with time and space differences in the impact and responses.In the future,the studies on historical climate impacts should be focused on spatial and temporal diversification,regional comprehensive analysis and comparison,and multidiscipline integration.
Keywords:historical period  climate change  social impact  China  
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