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甘南高原冰雹短时预报的客观相似预报方法
引用本文:王建兵,汪治桂,张胜智,杨文杰. 甘南高原冰雹短时预报的客观相似预报方法[J]. 干旱气象, 2010, 28(1): 87-90
作者姓名:王建兵  汪治桂  张胜智  杨文杰
作者单位:中国气象局兰州干旱气象研究所,甘肃省干旱气候变化与减灾重点实验室,甘肃,兰州,730020;甘肃甘南藏族自治州气象局,甘肃,合作,747000;甘肃甘南藏族自治州气象局,甘肃,合作,747000
基金项目:甘肃省气象局“西北地区防雹消雹技术在甘南州冰雹、雷暴短时临近预报预警中的应用推广研究(2007-07)”课题资助
摘    要:
利用相似预报的原理制作了甘南高原冰雹短时预报工具,该方法的实现是通过建立历史个例资料库,寻找相似个例并根据条件判断是否有冰雹,查看历史天气图并与当天实况进行对比,进行人工判断,增加新的冰雹个例4部分完成的。经检验,该方法在甘南州冰雹短时预报中使用效果较好,是一种有效的短时预报方法。

关 键 词:冰雹  短时预报  相似

Application of Objective Similarity Method to Short-Range Forecast of Hail in Gannan Plateau
WANG Jianbing,,WANG Zhigui,ZHANG Shenzhi,YANG Wenjie. Application of Objective Similarity Method to Short-Range Forecast of Hail in Gannan Plateau[J]. Journal of Arid Meteorology, 2010, 28(1): 87-90
Authors:WANG Jianbing    WANG Zhigui  ZHANG Shenzhi  YANG Wenjie
Affiliation:1.Institute of Arid Meteorology;CMA;Key Laboratory of Arid Climatic Change and Reducing Disaster of GansuProvince;Lanzhou 730020;China;2.Gannan Meteorological Bureau of Gansu Province;Hezuo 747000;China
Abstract:
By using the objective similarity method,A short-range forecast model of hail in Gannan Plateau was completed.The system compiled by four parts,including a history database of hail,similar case and judgment,viewing history weather map and comparing with intraday actually happening,adding new hail data.The result shows that the model has a good effect in short-range forecast of hail,and it is an effective method of short-range forecast.
Keywords:hail  short-range forecast  similarity  
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