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非点源污染预测模型研究进展
引用本文:薛金凤,夏军,马彦涛.非点源污染预测模型研究进展[J].水科学进展,2002,13(5):649-656.
作者姓名:薛金凤  夏军  马彦涛
作者单位:1.武汉大学化学与分子科学学院应用化学系, 湖北, 武汉, 430072;
基金项目:中国科学院知识创新工程项目(CX10G-E01-08/KZCX2-SW-317)资助
摘    要:污染物在径流形成过程中的迁移和转化是很复杂的,为了有效地防止和控制降雨径流污染,必须对这个复杂过程进行分析、模拟和预测.详细介绍了近年来国外和国内非点源污染模型的研究进展.可以看出,GIS与非点源污染模型的结合及在模型中引入模糊理论、不确定性分析、风险管理是今后的发展趋势,而我国在非点源污染方面的研究还比较落后,有待进一步的发展.

关 键 词:非点源污染    预测模型    地理信息系统    模糊理论    不确定性    风险管理
文章编号:1001-6791(2002)05-649-08
收稿时间:2001-07-17
修稿时间:2001年7月17日

Advances in non-point source pollution prediction model
XUE Jin-feng,XIA Jun,MA Yan-tao.Advances in non-point source pollution prediction model[J].Advances in Water Science,2002,13(5):649-656.
Authors:XUE Jin-feng  XIA Jun  MA Yan-tao
Institution:1.Department of Applied Chemistry, College of Chemistry &Molecular Science, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China;2.Institute of Geopraphical Science and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Science, Beijing 100101, China;3. College of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China;3.Department of Environment Engineering, College of Resource & Environment Science, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China
Abstract:Transfer and transform of pollutants is very complicated.In order to prevent and control runoff pollution,the complicated processes need to be analyzed,simulated and predicted.The development of recent overseas and inland non-point pollution models is introduced in this paper.It can be seen that integrating GIS,fuzzy set theory,uncertainty analysis and risk management into non-point source pollution model will be future development direction.However,it is stil behindhand with this field in China,and remains to be developed.
Keywords:nonpoint source pollution  predication rmdel  GIS  fuzzy set theory  uncertainty analysis  risk management  
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