| 桂东7～9月西风系统暴雨短期预报方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 梁飞燕,卢建壮,潘习元.桂东7～9月西风系统暴雨短期预报方法[J].气象研究与应用,2000,21(3):22-24. |
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| 作者姓名： | 梁飞燕 卢建壮 潘习元 |
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| 作者单位： | 梧州市气象局,广西梧州 543002 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用近10a的报文资料,计算7～9月西风系统暴雨出现前24h,与梧州站以西、北相邻的25个探空站相应的28个物理量场,利用相关分析,筛选出能较好地反映西风系统暴雨天气特征的若干物理量场,依据动力相似的基本原理,作出未来24h桂东暴雨落区预报.
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| 关 键 词： | 西风系统 暴雨落区 短期预报 |
| 文章编号： | 1001-5191(2000)03-0022-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2000年2月12日 |
Short-term Forecast way of July-september west-wind-system heavy rain in south part of Guangxi |
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| LIANG Fei yan,LU Jian zhuang,PAN Xi yuan.Short-term Forecast way of July-september west-wind-system heavy rain in south part of Guangxi[J].Journal of Guangxi Meteorology,2000,21(3):22-24. |
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| Authors: | LIANG Fei yan LU Jian zhuang PAN Xi yuan |
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| Abstract: | This paper introduces a practical short term forecast method of west wind system heavy rain from July to September in eastern part of Guangxi.First,24 hours before west wind system heavy rain appears,calculate the corresponding 28 physics field of 25 sounding stations to the west and north of Wuzhou according to the data in recent ten years.Then,make relevant analysis and choose some physics fields which can better reflect the characteristics of west wind system heavy rain weather.Based on the principle of kinetics resemblance,the heavy rain falling area in the future 24 hours can be successfully forecasted. |
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| Keywords: | West wind system heavy rain falling area short term forecast |
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