斯特恩报告及其对后京都谈判的可能影响

 2006年10月正式发布的斯特恩报告在国际社会引起了广泛反响。文章概述和分析了该报告出台的国际背景、主要特点和关键结论，综合评述了包括各国政府、学术界、企业界及环境非政府组织等各方对该报告的不同观点，研究探讨了斯特恩报告对后京都谈判的可能影响。该报告尽管肯定了中国气候变化政策的积极贡献，但其提出的排放情景和基于市场的政策处方并不能满足中国等发展中国家的发展需求，也忽视了资金来源、技术转让、适应等重要问题。

The Stern Review and Its Possible Impacts on Post-Kyoto Climate Negotiations

The Stern Review published in October 2006 has gained wide responses at international level. In this paper, a preliminary assessment is conducted to summarize and analyze the international background of its preparation, the methodology and the key conclusions. Comments and opinions from a variety of reviewers, including government, academic institutions, industry and environmental NGOs are comprehensively reviewed to highlight the possible impacts of the Stern Review on post-Kyoto climate negotiations. In conclusion, it is argued that the emissions scenarios and market-based policy recipes provided in the Stern Review could not meet the development needs of developing countries, and their concerns on a series of important issues such as capital sources, technical transfer and adaptation are ignored.