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应用最优化模型分析活断层与地震的关系
引用本文:邵辉成,刘华峰,岳珠峰.应用最优化模型分析活断层与地震的关系[J].地震地质,2006,28(3):405-410.
作者姓名:邵辉成  刘华峰  岳珠峰
作者单位:1. 西北工业大学工程力学系,西安,710072;陕西省地震局,西安,710068
2. 西北工业大学工程力学系,西安,710072;河南科学技术大学建筑工程学院,洛阳,471003
3. 西北工业大学工程力学系,西安,710072
摘    要:文中应用基于“多态”前兆模式及效能评价的最优效能单项模型参数选择方法,分析了3个地震带活断层(Qp3—Qh)与地震(M≥6)空间分布之间的关系。结果表明,河套地震带地震较集中分布在距断层20km的范围内,用其对6级以上地震进行地点预测有较高的准确性,R值达0.5,而对祁连山地震带30km范围内地震的发生地点进行预测,R值却仅为0.14

关 键 词:“多态”前兆模式  效能评估  最优模型
文章编号:0253-4967(2006)03-0405-06
收稿时间:2006-04-06
修稿时间:2006-07-30

ANALYZING THE RELATION BETWEEN EARTHQUAKE AND ACTIVE FAULT BASED ON THE PARAMETER OPTIMIZATION MODEL
SHAO Hui-cheng,LIU Hua-feng,YUE Zhu-feng.ANALYZING THE RELATION BETWEEN EARTHQUAKE AND ACTIVE FAULT BASED ON THE PARAMETER OPTIMIZATION MODEL[J].Seismology and Geology,2006,28(3):405-410.
Authors:SHAO Hui-cheng  LIU Hua-feng  YUE Zhu-feng
Abstract:The gestation and occurrence of strong earthquake are closely related to fault activity, which are not only revealed by abundant experimentation and seismism but also proved by modern seismology. In the mainland of China, the correlation between earthquake activity and active fault is one of the bases for partitioning potential seismic sources, analyzing the seismotectonics and estimating location of strong earthquake.Due to nonuniformity of earth medium, instability of observation system and disturbance of
Keywords:“multi state”precursory model  efficiency evaluation  parameter optimization model
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