| 地铁结构变形预测的时间序列模型方法研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 王斌,;吴剑刚,;胡伍生.地铁结构变形预测的时间序列模型方法研究[J].现代测绘,2014(2):3-5. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王斌 ;吴剑刚 ;胡伍生 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]东南大学交通学院,江苏南京210096; [2]江苏省吴江经济技术开发区,江苏吴江215200 |
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| 基金项目： | 基于可靠度的高速铁路无砟轨道结构全寿命设计理论与方法研究（国家自然科学基金项目重点项目）,编号：U1134206 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文根据南京地铁某区间隧道结构变形监测数据,分别采用回归分析方法和时间序列分析方法建立模型,对地铁结构变形进行预测。计算结果表明在该工程实例中,回归分析模型的预测精度约为±0.20mm,时间序列模型的预测精度约为±0.08mm,较回归分析模型提高了60%,能够较好的对地铁结构变形进行预测。
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| 关 键 词： | 变形监测 时间序列模型 变形预测 |
Research of Time Series Model Method in Metro Structure Deformation Prediction |
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| Institution: | WANG Bin,WU Jiang-ang,HU Wu-sheng,School of Transportation,Southeast University,Wujiang economic and technological development zone, |
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| Abstract: | The paper bases on deformation monitoring data of one tunnel＇s structure of Nanjing Metro,and establish model by using regression analysis method and time series method respectively,in order to predict the deformation of metro structure.In this engineering projects,the prediction precise of regression analysis model is about ±0.20 mm,while time series model＇s prediction precise is about ±0.08 mm,increasing 60% over regression analysis model.It shows that time series model can predict the deformation of metro structure better. |
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| Keywords: | deformation monitoring time series model deformation prediction |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 等数据库收录！ |
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