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地震及其前兆的观测研究与地震预测
引用本文:郝建国.地震及其前兆的观测研究与地震预测[J].地震地磁观测与研究,1999,20(6):45-50.
作者姓名:郝建国
作者单位:中国北京,100081,中国地震局地球物理研究所
摘    要:通过对地震灾害及预测观察研究现状的分析,解析了地震预测研究中存在的问题和不足,指出了地震及其前兆观测在预测研究中的作用,同时认为,地震前兆观测既不能盲目,也不能随波逐流也进行,其进展以决于地震孕育机理的深入理解和有效观测途径或方法的选择,并简述了20年来在震前准静电场观测研究中取得进展和体会。

关 键 词:自组织临界  准静电场  砂堆

Observation-research of earthquake and its precursors and earthquake prediction
Hao Jianguo.Observation-research of earthquake and its precursors and earthquake prediction[J].Seismological and Geomagnetic Observation and Research,1999,20(6):45-50.
Authors:Hao Jianguo
Institution:Hao Jianguo;(Institute of Geophysics,China Seismological Buereau,Beijing 100081,China)
Abstract:The problem and thedeficiency in theresearch ofearthquakeprediction havebeen dis- sected based on analysisofseism icdisasterand situation ofearthquakeprediction.Theef- fect ofobservation of earthquake and precursors in earthquake prediction research have been pointed out. Itisexpouded simultaneously thatobservation ofearthquakeprecursors can'tbeen proceeded eitheraswithoutclearunderstanding orasdriftwith thetide.Itsad- vancem entdependson the com prehension ofseismogenic m echanism and the preferenceof observationalw ay ormethod.And itisexpounded brieflythattheadvanceandappreciation on observation and study ofquasi-staticelectricfield before earthquake in recent20 years.
Keywords:self-organized critical phenomenon  quasi-static electric field  sands
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