卫星轨道预报的一种分析方法

人造地球卫星的轨道预报是空间环境监测和实时跟踪测量中一个重要环节，由于监测对象众多，要求精度也不太高，通常采用分析法预报．在已有分析法得到t时刻平均根数的基础上给出一种轨道预报方法，由t时刻的平均根数给出该时刻卫星的位置和速度，在此基础上将地球非球形引力摄动的周期项直接用卫星直角坐标的位置和速度分量表示，这样可以避免在计算轨道根数变化的周期项时出现的奇点问题，从而对根数的选择无特殊要求，可适用于各种轨道，简化预报程序和相应的软件，提高预报效率。

An Analytical Method for Satellite Orbit Forecasting

The orbit forecasting plays an important role in the observing and tracking of plentiful space objects. The analytical method is always used due to the large amount of the objects and not very high accuracy of forecasting. A method based on the position and velocity derived from the mean orbit elements directly is given, which is to avoid the problem of singularity in calculating the periodic terms of orbit elements variation, thus the process and software can be simplified.