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澄碧河水库上游流域气候变化特征及其影响分析
引用本文:朱胜,黄梅丽,朱英.澄碧河水库上游流域气候变化特征及其影响分析[J].气象研究与应用,2011,32(1):25-28.
作者姓名:朱胜  黄梅丽  朱英
作者单位:1. 广西区气象局,广西,南宁,530022
2. 广西区气候中心,广西,南宁,530022
3. 广西气象培训中心,广西,南宁,530022
摘    要:运用数理统计方法,对广西澄碧河水库上游流域气候变化特征进行分析,结果表明:水库降水量的变化以减少为主,春季、秋季和主汛期降水量的减幅均较大;平均气温均呈显著增高趋势,其中冬季增幅最大;蒸散量的变化均呈减少趋势.并探讨了气候变化对澄碧河水库上游流域的影响,总体来看,弊大于利;提出了水库应对气候变化的若干措施和建议.

关 键 词:气候变化  影响  线性趋势分析  澄碧河水库

Climatic Characteristics and its Impact of Chengbihe Reservoir Upper Basin
Zhu Sheng,Huang Mei-li,Zhu Ying.Climatic Characteristics and its Impact of Chengbihe Reservoir Upper Basin[J].Journal of Guangxi Meteorology,2011,32(1):25-28.
Authors:Zhu Sheng  Huang Mei-li  Zhu Ying
Institution:3(Guangxi Meteorological Service,Guangxi Nanning 530022,Guangxi Climate Centre,Guangxi Nanning 530022,Guangxi Meteorological Training Centre,Guangxi Nanning 530022)
Abstract:Using mathematical statistic method,the climatic characteristics of Chengbihe Reservoir upper basin were analyzed.The results show that the precipitation of reservoir is mainly reducing trend especially in spring,autumn and the main flood season.The mean temperature shows an significant increasing trend especially in winter To the contrary,the evapotranspiration shows a decreasing trend.Then the climatic impacts on the reservoir upper basin was also dicussed.
Keywords:climate change  impact  linear trend analysis  Chengbihe reservoir
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