中国旅游业与地区发展及民生改善协调关系研究

以中国（未包括港澳台地区）31个省域为实证分析对象，运用耦合协调模型和灰色关联度分析法，从时空角度对旅游业同地区发展与民生改善的耦合协调关系及其演变规律进行分析，探知旅游业同地区发展与民生改善的协调关系和影响二者协调发展的主要因素。研究表明：考察期内，旅游业、地区发展与民生改善的综合评价值持续上升，前者增长较慢，后者相对较快，旅游业发展滞后于地区发展与民生改善，二者耦合协调系数稳步增加，但整体水平不高；旅游业同地区发展与民生改善的耦合协调度在空间分布上，呈现东部、中部、西部梯级递减，南方优于北方的空间分异规律；旅游业系统对于地区经济与民生协调发展起着关键作用，其中入境旅游收入、入境旅游人次、旅游专业化程度和旅游院校学生数是影响地区发展与民生改善和二者协调发展的主要因素。

Coordination Relationship Between Tourism Development and Regional Development with Improvement of People’s Livelihood in China

This article establishes tourism system and regional development and improve people’s livelihood system, and applies the coupled coordination degree model to doing a quantitative evaluation about the relation of tourism with area development and improvement of people’s livelihood in Chinese 31 province in 2000-2013, and analyzes the evolution rules of coupling coordination degree from the view of space-time. The results show that: the comprehensive evaluation value of tourism and the value of regional development and improvement of people’s livelihood are both rising. The former grows slowly, and the latter grows relatively fast. The coupling coordination coefficient continues to increase, but the overall level of coupling coordination is not high, only 2 provinces achieving a high degree of coordination and having not yet appeared extremely coordinated area in 2013. The distribution of coupling degrees basically conforms to the rules that the eastern > the central > the west, the southeast > the northeast, and the southwest > the northwest. To further explore the coupling coordination role of indices of tourism system to the regional development and improvement of people’s livelihood, grey correlation degree analysis method is applied, concluding that the indexes of inbound tourism income, inbound tourists, and tourism college students number are the main factors influencing the regional development and the improvement of people’s livelihood and the teir coordinated development.