| 莱州湾温带风暴潮预报研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 张胜平,徐振山,王军,丁吉龙,侯庆华.莱州湾温带风暴潮预报研究[J].海洋预报,2002,19(1):64-72. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张胜平 徐振山 王军 丁吉龙 侯庆华 |
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| 作者单位： | 山东省水文水资源勘测局,山东 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文依据莱州湾羊角沟、夏营两站建国以来的风暴增水资料，对莱州湾建国后发生的风暴潮进行了统计分析，并探讨了温带风暴潮产生的物理机制，此外还对莱州湾温带风暴增水以及诱发增水的天气形势进行了分析分类。在此基础上建立了莱州湾温带风暴潮统计预报方法，并在作业预报中对模型进行了检验，取得较为理想的效果。
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| 关 键 词： | 温带风暴潮 物理机制 统计预报方法 莱州湾 风暴增水 天气形势 |
| 文章编号： | 1003-0239(2002)01-0064-09 |
STUDY ON EXTRATROPICAL STORM SURGE FORECASTING IN LAIZHOU BAY |
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| Zhang Shengping Xu Zhenshan Wang Jun Ding Jilong Hou Qinghua.STUDY ON EXTRATROPICAL STORM SURGE FORECASTING IN LAIZHOU BAY[J].Marine Forecasts,2002,19(1):64-72. |
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| Authors: | Zhang Shengping Xu Zhenshan Wang Jun Ding Jilong Hou Qinghua |
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| Abstract: | Based on tidal observation data (1950 - 2000) in Yangjiaogou and Xiaying tidal gage station, the paper firstly gives the statistical and mechanism analysis for the surge occurred in Laizhou Bay. It also analyzes and classifies the surge and related weather situation. The statistical methods are established for surge forecasting based the above analysis. These methods are tested through the practical operation, and gives reasonable results. |
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| Keywords: | extratropical storm surge mechanism statistical forecasting methods |
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