| 磐石市富太镇泥石流危险性评价与危险范围预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 周志广,李广杰,陈伟韦.磐石市富太镇泥石流危险性评价与危险范围预测[J].水文地质工程地质,2007,34(2):101-105. |
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| 作者姓名： | 周志广 李广杰 陈伟韦 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 吉林大学建设工程学院,长春,130026
2. 吉林大学环境与资源学院,长春,130026 |
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| 基金项目： | 吉林省国土资源厅地质灾害大调查项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 磐石市富太镇地区泥石流灾害较为发育,给当地人民的生命财产、交通安全构成了一定的威胁。为了为合理制定泥石流防治方案和进行泥石流防治工程设计提供依据,文章采用模糊数学综合评判法和泥石流最大危险范围预测模型分别对富太地区的21条泥石流进行了危险性评价和最大危险范围的预测。评价和预测结果表明:本区泥石流危险程度基本都属于轻微级,而且它们的最大危险范围也较小,符合富太地区的实际情况。
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| 关 键 词： | 泥石流 危险性评价 危险范围 模糊数学 综合评判法 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-3665（2007）02-0101-05 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-03-31 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-06-14 |
Risk evaluation and hazardous dimension forecast for debris flow in the Futai Town of Panshi |
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| ZHOU Zhi-guang,LI Guang-jie,CHEN Wei-wei.Risk evaluation and hazardous dimension forecast for debris flow in the Futai Town of Panshi[J].Hydrogeology and Engineering Geology,2007,34(2):101-105. |
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| Authors: | ZHOU Zhi-guang LI Guang-jie CHEN Wei-wei |
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| Institution: | 1. College of Construction Engineering, Jilin University, Jilin 130026, China ; 2. College of Environment and Rresources , Jilin University, Jilin 130026, China |
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| Abstract: | Lives and property of local people and local traffic safety have been threatened by the developed debris flow hazards in the Futai Town of the Panshi City.In order to provide scientific base for making out control schemes and designing prevention projects of debris flow,risk evaluation and maximal hazardous dimension forecast of 21 debris flows in Futai were carried out with a fuzzy mathematic comprehensive evaluation method and a maximal hazardous dimension forecast model.The results show that each debris flow in this area is slightly risk and its maximal hazardous dimension is comparatively small,which are coincident with the status of the study area. |
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| Keywords: | debris flow risk evaluation hazardous dimension fuzzy mathematics comprehensive evaluation method |
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