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2015年智利Illapel M_W8.3地震同震效应及其对南美大陆地震危险性影响
引用本文:黄禄渊,张贝,程惠红,罗纲,瞿武林,石耀霖.2015年智利Illapel M_W8.3地震同震效应及其对南美大陆地震危险性影响[J].地球物理学报,2017,60(1):163-173.
作者姓名:黄禄渊  张贝  程惠红  罗纲  瞿武林  石耀霖
作者单位:1. 中国科学院计算地球动力学重点实验室, 中国科学院大学, 北京 100049;2. 中国地震局地壳应力研究所, 北京 100085;3. 成都理工大学地质灾害防治与地质环境保护国家重点实验室, 成都 610059
基金项目:中国科学院国家合作创新团队(Y32902JED2)和国家自然科学基金重大项目(41590865)资助.
摘    要:基于高性能并行有限元方法,建立含地表地形和Moho面起伏的大规模非均匀椭球地球模型,计算了2015年9月17日智利Illapel M_W8.3地震同震效应,同时讨论2010年智利Maule M_W8.8地震和2014年智利Iquique M_W8.1地震对2015年智利Illapel地震的加载作用,进一步分析这3个地震共同作用对南美大陆及周围断层的地震危险性影响.结果表明:对此次智利Illapel地震CEA(中国地震局地球物理研究所)滑动模型计算的地表最大水平位移约为3 m,USGS(美国地调局)模型的最大水平位移约6 m.特大地震影响范围广,南美大陆接近一半区域同震水平位移量级达到0.5 mm;受3次地震共同作用,智利2010年Maule地震南部俯冲带、2015年Illapel地震和2014年Iquique地震之间俯冲带,以及2014年Iquique地震以北俯冲带,受到10 kPa东西向压应力加载;2010年Maule地震和2014年Iquique地震共同加速了2015年Illapel地震滑动;1960年Valdivia M_W9.5地震破裂区、2014年Iquique地震和1995年Antofagasta地震之间区域以及2010年Maule地震和2015年Illapel地震的未破裂区重合处库仑应力变化均超过10 kPa,有可能加速强震的发生.

关 键 词:智利地震  同震效应  有限元模拟  库仑应力  周边断层  
收稿时间:2015-09-27

The co-seismic effect of the 2015 Chile Illapel MW8.3 earthquake and its effect on seismic risk of South America
HUANG Lu-Yuan,ZHANG Bei,CHENG Hui-Hong,LUO Gang,QU Wu-Lin,SHI Yao-Lin.The co-seismic effect of the 2015 Chile Illapel MW8.3 earthquake and its effect on seismic risk of South America[J].Chinese Journal of Geophysics,2017,60(1):163-173.
Authors:HUANG Lu-Yuan  ZHANG Bei  CHENG Hui-Hong  LUO Gang  QU Wu-Lin  SHI Yao-Lin
Institution:1. Key Laboratory of Computational Geodynamics of Chinese Academy of Sciences, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China;2. Institute of Crustal Dynamics, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing 100085, China;3. State Key Laboratory of Geohazard Prevention and Geoenvironment Protection, Chengdu University of Technology, Chengdu 610059, China
Abstract:In this paper, based on the parallel finite element method, the large-scale non-uniform ellipsoidal earth model including topography and Moho discontinuity is constructed to investigate the co-seismic effect of the 2015 Illapel, Chile MW8.3 earthquake. Then, the Coulomb stress changes associated with 2010 Maule MW8.8 earthquake and 2014 Iquique MW8.1 earthquake are superposed on the fault of the 2015 Illapel MW8.3 earthquake, and the combined effect on seismic risk of South America induced by these three events is discussed. The USGS slip model predicts the maximum displacement around 6 m, while the predicted displacement from the CEA slip model is up to 3 m. Horizontal displacement in nearly half of South American territory is in the magnitude order of 0.5 mm. The subduction zones on the south of 2010 Maule earthquake, between the 2014 Iquique earthquake and 2015 Illapel earthquake, and on the north of the 2014 earthquake are under a stress loading of 10 kPa. The 2010 Maule and 2014 Iquique earthquakes has accelerated the slip of the 2015 Illapel earthquake. The Coulomb stress changes in the rupture zone of the 1960 Valdivia earthquake, the fault zone between the 2014 Iquique earthquake and 1995 Antofagasta earthquake, and the overlap of non-rupture zones of 2010 and 2015 earthquake all exceed 10 kPa, which may hasten the occurrence of strong earthquakes.
Keywords:Chile earthquake  Coseismic effect  Finite element method  Coulomb stress change  Nearby faults
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