华东地区热带气旋暴雨气候特征及其落区预报

作者分析了近十几年来华东热带气旋暴雨的主要特征，并以热力，动力参数相结合，采用合成对比方法，进行诊断分析，然后使用数值产品制作热带气旋暴雨落区的概率预报。

The Climate Features of Tropical Cyclone Heavy Rain and Falling Area Forecast in East China

he main features of tropical cyclone heavy rain in recent years are shown. Combining thermal parameter with dynamic parameter,the diagnosis analysis of the tropical cyclone heavy rain is presented by the use of integrated and contrast method. The possibility forecast of tropical cyclone heavy rain falling area is given by the numerical weather prediction products.