| 华北震后趋势判断的前兆综合指标与方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 傅德川,张子广,王秀文,赵新平.华北震后趋势判断的前兆综合指标与方法[J].华北地震科学,1996(2). |
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| 作者姓名： | 傅德川 张子广 王秀文 赵新平 |
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| 作者单位： | 河北省地震局 石家庄050021
(傅德川，张子广)，山西省地震局 太原030002
(王秀文)，山西省地震局 太原030002(赵新平) |
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| 摘 要： | 在对华北邢台、渤海、海城、唐山、大同五大震例的各前兆学科震后变化进行分析的基础上,本文归纳出综合判断后续地震异常的3项定量指标与4项定性指标,还给出了模糊综合评判的方法并计算出符合实际的结果,当评判有震时又给出预报后续地震三要素的经验性判据.
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| 关 键 词： | 华北 地震综合预报 模糊数学 |
PRECURSOR COMPREHENSIVE INDEXES AND METHOD FOR JUDGING SEISMIC TREND AFTER EARTHQUAKE IN NORTH CHINA AREA |
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| Fu Dechuan Zhang Ziguang.PRECURSOR COMPREHENSIVE INDEXES AND METHOD FOR JUDGING SEISMIC TREND AFTER EARTHQUAKE IN NORTH CHINA AREA[J].North China Earthquake Sciences,1996(2). |
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| Authors: | Fu Dechuan Zhang Ziguang |
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| Abstract: | In this paper,based on the analysis of various changes of all precursor observational means after the Xingtai, Bohai,Haicheng, Tangshan and Datong earthquakes in North China area, 3 quantitative indexes and 4 qualitative indexes have been summed up. Besides, the method of fuzzy synthetic evaluation has been given. The results calculated by this method conform to reality. When the result of evalution is that there will be an earthquake, the experiential criterion for the three elements of follow - up earthquakes has been given. |
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| Keywords: | comprehensive earthquake prediction fuzzy evaluation |
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