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Spatial modeling of the highest daily maximum temperature in Korea via max-stable processes
Authors:Youngsaeng Lee  Sanghoo Yoon  Md. Sharwar Murshed  Maeng-Ki Kim  ChunHo Cho  Hee-Jeong Baek  Jeong-Soo Park
Affiliation:1. Department of Statistics, Chonnam National University, Gwangju, 500-757, Korea
2. School of Mathematics, University of Southampton, Highfield, SO17 1BJ, UK
3. Department of Business Administration, Northern University Bangladesh, Dhaka, 1209, Bangladesh
4. Department of Atmospheric Science, Kongju National University, Gongju, Korea
5. Climate Research Laboratory, National Institute of Meteorological Research, KMA, Seoul, Korea
Abstract:This paper examines the annual highest daily maximum temperature (DMT) in Korea by using data from 56 weather stations and employing spatial extreme modeling. Our approach is based on max-stable processes (MSP) with Schlather’s characterization. We divide the country into four regions for a better model fit and identify the best model for each region. We show that regional MSP modeling is more suitable than MSP modeling for the entire region and the pointwise generalized extreme value distribution approach. The advantage of spatial extreme modeling is that more precise and robust return levels and some indices of the highest temperatures can be obtained for observation stations and for locations with no observed data, and so help to determine the effects and assessment of vulnerability as well as to downscale extreme events.
Keywords:extreme climate   extremal coefficient   generalized extreme value distribution   prediction   re- turn level   spatial extremes
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