镇江市小麦产量预报方法的研究——Baier-Robertson模型的一种改进型 |
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引用本文: | 邹永林,胡萌夫,高金成,尹连荣.镇江市小麦产量预报方法的研究——Baier-Robertson模型的一种改进型[J].气象,1988,14(1):28-31. |
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作者姓名: | 邹永林 胡萌夫 高金成 尹连荣 |
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作者单位: | 江苏省镇江市农业气象研究所
(邹永林,胡萌夫,高金成),江苏省镇江市农业气象研究所(尹连荣) |
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摘 要: | 本文根据作物产量形成与农艺性状的关系,构造了作物气候参量,籍此对Baier-Robertson模型作了改进。兼顾因子的显著性、稳定性和独立性,建立了镇江市小麦产量预报模式并作了试报。
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Study on wheat yield prediction model inZhenjiang City-a revision to theBaier-Robertson' s model |
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Abstract: | According to the relationships between crop yield formation and agronomic characteristics, the crop-climate parameters were constructed, with which, the Baier-Robertson's Model was revised in this paper. Wheat yield prediction model in Zhen-jiang City was then developed, basing on the significance, stability and independence of the predictors and wheat yield in 1987 was estimated. |
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