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| 2001年昆仑山口西8.1级大震预报的再讨论 | |
| 引用本文： | 郭增建,韩延本,吴瑾冰.2001年昆仑山口西8.1级大震预报的再讨论[J].地震研究,2002,25(4):309-313. |
| 作者姓名： | 郭增建 韩延本 吴瑾冰 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 中国科学院国家天文台,北京,100012;中国地震局兰州地震研究所,兰州,730000 2. 中国科学院国家天文台,北京,100012 3. 中国地震局兰州地震研究所,兰州,730000 |
| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金资助项目,NO . 199730 11 |
| 摘 要： | 由立交模式、静中动判据和高山峰指标讨论了2001年昆仑山口西8．1级大震的地点骤报。由74年周期性、三性法和倍九律讨论了这个8．1级大震的时间预报。倍九律包括热红外异常、6级地震活动和K＝8的大磁暴在震前出现的倍九天时间特征。 |
| 关 键 词： | 2001年 昆仑山 8.1级大震 空间预报 时间预报 74年周期性 三性法 倍九律 立交模式 |
The Continuous Discussion on the Prediction of the Great Earthquake (MS=8.1)in the West of Kunlun Mountain Pass in 2001 |
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| Guo Zengjian , Han Yanben Wu Jinbing.The Continuous Discussion on the Prediction of the Great Earthquake (MS=8.1)in the West of Kunlun Mountain Pass in 2001[J].Journal of Seismological Research,2002,25(4):309-313. | |
| Authors: | Guo Zengjian Han Yanben Wu Jinbing |
| Institution: | Guo Zengjian 1,2 Han Yanben 1 Wu Jinbing 2 |
| Abstract: | Based on the stereoscopic model,the criterion of activity in quiescence and the index of high peak,the spatial prediction of the great earthquake(M S=8.1)in the west of the Kunlun Mountain Pass in 2001 has been discussed.Temporal prediction of the great earthquake has been studied by means of the periodicity of 74 years,the triplet method and the regularity of multiplied nine days.The regularity of multiplied nine days includes the temporal characteristics of the thermal infrared anomaly,the earthquake activity of earthquake(M S=6)and the magnetic storm(K=8)before the great earthquake's occurrence. |
| Keywords: | M S8 1 great earthquake spatial prediction temporal prediction Kunlun Mountain Pass |
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