| 洪涝统计方法探讨 |
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| 引用本文： | 杨琳,刘东华.洪涝统计方法探讨[J].气象与环境科学,2007,30(B09):32-34. |
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| 作者姓名： | 杨琳 刘东华 |
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| 作者单位： | 深圳市气象服务中心,深圳518001 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用深圳气象台1953--2005年的雨量资料，对洪涝的两种统计方法进行了对比分析，并引出了更为科学和合理的“任意连续10d／20d雨量统计洪涝的方法”。通过检验，该方法能够较准确地反映洪涝灾害的实际情况。
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| 关 键 词： | 雨量 距平百分率 洪涝 任意连续 影响系统 |
| 文章编号： | 1673-7148（2007）增刊-0032-03 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-09-07 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007-01-30 |
Research on Statistical Methods for Flood Estimation |
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| Yang Lin,Liu Donghua.Research on Statistical Methods for Flood Estimation[J].Meteorological and Environmental Sciences,2007,30(B09):32-34. |
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| Authors: | Yang Lin Liu Donghua |
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| Institution: | Shenzhen Meteorological Service Center, Shenzhen 518001, China |
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| Abstract: | Basing on rainfall data during 1953--2005 coming from Shenzhen Meteorological Observa- tory, the paper does a comparative analysis of two statistical methods for flood estimation. The method of rainfall versus flood statistics in arbitrarily continual 10/20 days for flood estimation is proposed. The new method for flood estimation is more scientific, reasonable and accurate by actual testing. |
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| Keywords: | rainfall departure percentage flood arbitrary continuation effective system |
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