东北航线驱动下环渤海港口规模雁阵演化研究

东北航线作为北极航线的重要组成部分,相比于西北航线,对于中国而言拥有更大的利用价值,尤其对中国经济发展、海运贸易、港口规模等有着巨大影响。因此,以东北航线为研究切入点,以环渤海港口为研究对象,在总结海运航线与港口规模存在密切联系基础上,从微观层面重点分析了东北航线对环渤海港口的货物吞吐量、集装箱吞吐量及经济效益三大主要指标的影响,进而采用主成分分析法对东北航线开通前后的环渤海港口进行了综合评分比较,指出东北航线开通不会打破现阶段环渤海港口的整体雁阵模式,但同一层次不同港口的发展位序将会发生改变,并针对不同层次的港口提出了不同的发展建议。

EVOLUTION OF THE FLYING GEESE MODEL FOR BOHAI SEAPORTS WITH OPENING OF THE NORTHEAST PASSAGE

As an important part of Arctic routes, compared with Northwest Passage, Northeast Passage has a greater value to our country, and it has huge impact on economic development, marine trade, and port scale etc. Therefore, based on summing the close contact of shipping routes and port scale, the paper refers Bohai sea ports as the research object, and mainly analyses the impact Northeast Passage has on the cargo throughput, container throughput and operational efficiency for Bohai ports. Then the paper deeply analyses the comprehensive scores before and after the opening of Northeast Passage with principal component analysis, indicating that the opening will not break the current stage of Flying Geese Model of Bohai sea ports, but the development order for different ports will change in the same level. So, in response to this situation, the paper puts forward different development proposals to these ports.