水资源管理制度超模博弈分析——以钱塘江与黑河为例

运用超模博弈理论，以流域水资源管理制度形成的角度来解释流域各区段水资源管理政策执行面临的外部环境约束与激励，并通过模型描述了水资源管理域与外部关联域之间的博弈关系。分析发现：超模结构在当前钱塘江与黑河流域的水资源博弈中发挥着重要影响。钱塘江流域水资源管理制度收益函数对水功能区治理变量和经济域治理变量有递增差异。黑河流域水资源管理制度收益函数对分水治理变量和社会域治理变量有递增差异。由于这种关联作用对各区段主体策略集的限制，流域间水资源管理制度逐渐异质化，各流域管理结构呈现出一定的区域特色。钱塘江流域水资源管理偏重于扁平化、职能化管理，黑河流域为科层结构下水资源的层级分配。并依据以上研究结论提出了制度建议。

Supermodular game analysis of water resources management systems:take the Qiantang River and Heihe River as examples

In this paper,by introducing the theory of supermodular game into the analysis of river basin water resources management systems,the external environment constraints and internal incentives in the execution of river basin water resources management policy are explained and the relation between management domain and external domain is described through the model describes.It is found that there is a paramount role of the supermodular structure in the game of water resources in the Qiantang River and Heihe River basins.In the Qiantang River basin the revenue function of the water resources management has an increasing difference between institution governance variable and economic domains governance variable.In the Heihe River basin the revenue function has an increasing difference between water resources management institution governance variable and social domains governance variable.Thus,regional heterogeneity engenders.Specifically speaking,the Qiantang River basin water resources management focuses on flat and functional management;the Heihe River basin is water resources hierarchical allocation.Finally,depending on the study results,some institutional suggestions are put forward.