| 甘肃岷县山区气温变化趋势分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 王毅荣.甘肃岷县山区气温变化趋势分析[J].气候与环境研究,2006,11(1):119-127. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王毅荣 |
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| 基金项目： | 科技部“中国干旱气象灾害监测预警方法研究”项目2004DIB5J196，国家自然基金项目40205014，甘肃省科学技术攻关计划项目ZGS042-A44-017 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用甘肃岷县气象站及其周围4站1937～2004年的68年逐月气温资料进行研究.结果表明:岷县山区气温存在下降趋势,对全球变暖的响应是异常的.该地区气温在20世纪50年代由暖转冷的突变十分明显,30、40年代是最暖的阶段,80年代为最冷的时期.从40年代起气温一直在下降,到70年代末80年代初下降到最低,80年代后才转为上升.预测未来气温有下降的可能.
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| 关 键 词： | 西秦岭山地 气温变化 气温预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1006-9585(2006)01-0119-09 |
| 收稿时间： | 03 30 2004 12:00AM |
| 修稿时间： | 05 16 2005 12:00AM |
The Temperature Change of the Mountainous Area of Minxian in Gansu Province |
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| WANG Yi-Rong.The Temperature Change of the Mountainous Area of Minxian in Gansu Province[J].Climatic and Environmental Research,2006,11(1):119-127. |
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| Authors: | WANG Yi-Rong |
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| Abstract: | By investigating change of Minxian temperature during 1937-2004,recent 68 years,the result shows that its temperature was abnormal response to global warming change,one was being cold.The jump points were in the 1950s.The greatest warm was in the 1930s and the 1940s,the greatest cold in the 1980s during 68 years.The temperature decreased before its jump point,and increased after the jump point.The temperature would decrease from 2004 to 2020 by the forecasting model. |
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| Keywords: | a mountainous area of western Qinling temperature change temperature forecasting |
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