Susceptibility assessment of earthquake-triggered landslides in El Salvador using logistic regression |
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Authors: | M.J. Garcí a-Rodrí guez, J.A. Malpica, B. Benito,M. Dí az |
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Affiliation: | aE.T.S.I. Topografía, Geodesia y Cartografía, Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, Spain;bMathematics Departament, Escuela Politécnica, Universidad de Alcalá, Madrid, Spain;cGeological Service, Servicio Nacional de Estudios Territoriales, San Salvador, El Salvador |
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Abstract: | This work has evaluated the probability of earthquake-triggered landslide occurrence in the whole of El Salvador, with a Geographic Information System (GIS) and a logistic regression model. Slope gradient, elevation, aspect, mean annual precipitation, lithology, land use, and terrain roughness are the predictor variables used to determine the dependent variable of occurrence or non-occurrence of landslides within an individual grid cell. The results illustrate the importance of terrain roughness and soil type as key factors within the model — using only these two variables the analysis returned a significance level of 89.4%. The results obtained from the model within the GIS were then used to produce a map of relative landslide susceptibility. |
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Keywords: | Logistic regression Slope stability Landslide susceptibility Geographical Information Systems (GIS) El Salvador |
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