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| 地震危险性不确定性分析中专家意见的合理综合 | |
| 引用本文： | 陈汉尧 胡聿贤. 地震危险性不确定性分析中专家意见的合理综合[J]. 华北地震科学, 1993, 11(3): 1-8 |
| 作者姓名： | 陈汉尧 胡聿贤 |
| 作者单位： | 国家地震局地球物理研究所 北京 |
| 摘 要： | 首先回顾了不确定性分析中常用的专家意见综合方法。然后在此基础上,提出了一新的简便易行的综合方法,并利用实例计算比较了三种综合方法的结果差异。所提出的方法在地震危险性不确定性分析专家意见的合理综合中具有较为实用的价值。 |
| 关 键 词： | 地震 危险性 不确定性 |
A RATIONAL COMPREHENSION OF EXPERTS'''' OPINIONS IN ANALYSIS OF UNCERTAINTY OF SEISMIC RISK |
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| Chen Hanyao Hu Yuxian. A RATIONAL COMPREHENSION OF EXPERTS'''' OPINIONS IN ANALYSIS OF UNCERTAINTY OF SEISMIC RISK[J]. North China Earthquake Sciences, 1993, 11(3): 1-8 | |
| Authors: | Chen Hanyao Hu Yuxian |
| Abstract: | This Paper, first, reviews the comprehensive methods of experts'opinions often used in analysis of uncertainty. Then based on this, a new simple and convenient comprehensive method is proposed and the result differdnces of three kinds of comprehensive methods are compared by example calculations. The proposed method has a practical value in rational comprehension of esperts'opinions in analysis of seismic risk uncertainty. |
| Keywords: | Seismic risk analysis uncertainty comprehension of experts'opinions |
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