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自回归总径流线性响应模型在洪水预报中的应用
引用本文:李蝶娟,周冰清.自回归总径流线性响应模型在洪水预报中的应用[J].水科学进展,1992,3(2):142-148.
作者姓名:李蝶娟  周冰清
作者单位:水利部南京水文水资源研究所 南京 210024
摘    要:采用自回归总径流线性响应(ATLR)模型建立淮河王家坝站洪水预报方案和海河流域南运河水系洪水预报调度方案.自回归TLR模型与TLR模型加误差自回归实时校正模型的结构相同,但前者计算简捷,预报精度也有所提高.

关 键 词:自回归    总径流线性响应模型    洪水预报
收稿时间:1990-11-22

ATLR Model and its Application in Flood Prediction
Li Diejuan,Zhou Binqin.ATLR Model and its Application in Flood Prediction[J].Advances in Water Science,1992,3(2):142-148.
Authors:Li Diejuan  Zhou Binqin
Institution:Nanjing Institute of Hydrology and Water Resources
Abstract:This paper presents an autoregression total linear response modet (ATLIZ) by which the forecast schemes were developed for the Wangjiaba station and the South Canal River system in the Haihe River basin. The proposed model has the same construction as that of the combined model consisting of TLR and error autoregressive real time updating. But,the former is simpler and more accurate than the latter.
Keywords:autoregression  total linear response model  flood forecast  
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