| 北京西山清水河流域泥石流及危害预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 赵波,董桂芝.北京西山清水河流域泥石流及危害预测[J].城市地质,1996,8(3):1-14. |
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| 作者姓名： | 赵波 董桂芝 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京市地质研究所 |
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| 摘 要： | 泥石流灾害是清水河流域最具破坏性的地质灾害类型。在自然状态下，地质地貌是该区泥石流形成的基本因素，降雨是泥石流暴发的激发因素，而人类各种不合理经济活动是泥石流促发因素。本文采用灰色理论方法进行泥石流与各种相关因素的关联度分析，并对该区未来泥石流发展的趋势及危害目标的危害度作了预测。
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| 关 键 词： | 泥石流 清水河流域 危害预测 危害目标 |
MUD-ROCK FLOWS AND ITS DANGEROUS PREDICTION IN THE DRAENAGE AREA OF THE QINGSHUI RIVER,SISHAN Mt,BEIJING |
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| Zhao Po, Dong Guizhi.MUD-ROCK FLOWS AND ITS DANGEROUS PREDICTION IN THE DRAENAGE AREA OF THE QINGSHUI RIVER,SISHAN Mt,BEIJING[J].City Geology,1996,8(3):1-14. |
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| Authors: | Zhao Po Dong Guizhi |
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| Abstract: | ud-rock flow is the most destructive type of geological disasters in the drainage area of the Qingshui River.In natural condition,the basic factor of mud-rock flow generation is the geological morphostructure;the excitation factor of mud-rock flow explosion is precipitation;and the facility factor of mud-rock flow is various human unreasonable economicactivities.Using the grey theory,the association analysis between the mud-rock flow and various correlation factors has been done,and a prediction of the development trend of mud-rock flows and the dangerous degree of the dangerous objectives are carried on. |
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| Keywords: | mud-rock flow drainage area of the Qingshui River dangerous Prediction dangerous objectives |
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