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Lightning Nowcasting with an Algorithm of Thunderstorm Tracking Based on Lightning Location Data over the Beijing Area
作者姓名:Abhay SRIVASTAVA  Dongxia LIU  Chen XU  Shanfeng YUAN  Dongfang WANG  Ogunsua BABALOLA  Zhuling SUN  Zhixiong CHEN  Hongbo ZHANG
作者单位:Key Laboratory of Middle Atmosphere and Global Environment Observation(LAGEO);Space and Atmospheric Science Division
基金项目:The National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.41630425,41761144074 and 41875007)supported the research;the Chinese Academy of Sciences for the CAS-PIFI fellowship grant。
摘    要:A thunderstorm tracking algorithm is proposed to nowcast the possibility of lightning activity over an area of concern by using the total lightning data and neighborhood technique.The lightning radiation sources observed from the Beijing Lightning Network(BLNET)were used to obtain information about the thunderstorm cells,which are significantly valuable in real-time.The boundaries of thunderstorm cells were obtained through the neighborhood technique.After smoothing,these boundaries were used to track the movement of thunderstorms and then extrapolated to nowcast the lightning approaching in an area of concern.The algorithm can deliver creditable results prior to a thunderstorm arriving at the area of concern,with accuracies of 63%,80%,and 91%for lead times of 30,15,and 5 minutes,respectively.The real-time observations of total lightning appear to be significant for thunderstorm tracking and lightning nowcasting,as total lightning tracking could help to fill the observational gaps in radar reflectivity due to the attenuation by hills or other obstacles.The lightning data used in the algorithm performs well in tracking the active thunderstorm cells associated with lightning activities.

关 键 词:neighborhood  technique  lightning  nowcasting  thunderstorm  tracking  lightning  location  data

Lightning Nowcasting with an Algorithm of Thunderstorm Tracking Based on Lightning Location Data over the Beijing Area
Abhay SRIVASTAVA,Dongxia LIU,Chen XU,Shanfeng YUAN,Dongfang WANG,Ogunsua BABALOLA,Zhuling SUN,Zhixiong CHEN,Hongbo ZHANG.Lightning Nowcasting with an Algorithm of Thunderstorm Tracking Based on Lightning Location Data over the Beijing Area[J].Advances in Atmospheric Sciences,2022,39(1):178-188.
Authors:Abhay SRIVASTAVA  Dongxia LIU  Chen XU  Shanfeng YUAN  Dongfang WANG  Ogunsua BABALOLA  Zhuling SUN  Zhixiong CHEN  Hongbo ZHANG
Abstract:A thunderstorm tracking algorithm is proposed to nowcast the possibility of lightning activity over an area of concern by using the total lightning data and neighborhood technique. The lightning radiation sources observed from the Beijing Lightning Network (BLNET) were used to obtain information about the thunderstorm cells, which are significantly valuable in real-time. The boundaries of thunderstorm cells were obtained through the neighborhood technique. After smoothing, these boundaries were used to track the movement of thunderstorms and then extrapolated to nowcast the lightning approaching in an area of concern. The algorithm can deliver creditable results prior to a thunderstorm arriving at the area of concern, with accuracies of 63%, 80%, and 91% for lead times of 30, 15, and 5 minutes, respectively. The real-time observations of total lightning appear to be significant for thunderstorm tracking and lightning nowcasting, as total lightning tracking could help to fill the observational gaps in radar reflectivity due to the attenuation by hills or other obstacles. The lightning data used in the algorithm performs well in tracking the active thunderstorm cells associated with lightning activities.
Keywords:neighborhood technique  lightning nowcasting  thunderstorm tracking  lightning location data
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