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Ice sheets and the CO2 problem
Authors:C J Van Der Veen
Institution:(1) Institute of Meteorology and Oceanography, State University Utrecht, Princetonplein 5, 3584 CC Utrecht, The Netherlands;(2) Present address: Byrd Polar Research Center, The Ohio State University, 125 South Oval Mall, 43210 Columbus, OH, USA
Abstract:In this review, the carbon dioxide problem is discussed, with special reference to the possible effects of a global warming on the ice sheets of Greenland and Antarctica. Instead of detailed projections of future climate and the consequences, the basic mechanisms are explained and illustrated with results described in the literature.It is concluded that a doubling of the atmospheric CO2 content (most likely to occur somewhere in the second half of the next century) will result in a globally-averaged warming of 2–4°C, and an intensification of the hydrological cycle. In the polar regions, this warming will be a few degrees larger and as a consequence the Greenland Ice Sheet will decrease in size. Antarctica, on the other hand, is expected to grow because of the increased snowfall. The instability of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet is also discussed and, although no conclusive prediction to its long-term response can be made, it is argued that on a short time scale (less than about 100 y) nothing dramatically wil happen to this part of Antarctica.
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