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基于断层相互作用理论的强震成组孕育发生初步研究
引用本文:陈化然,李轶群,马宏生,王建国.基于断层相互作用理论的强震成组孕育发生初步研究[J].地震,2003,23(3):51-56.
作者姓名:陈化然  李轶群  马宏生  王建国
作者单位:1. 天津市地震局,天津,300201
2. 中国地震局分析预报中心,北京,100036
基金项目:十五"国家科技攻关项目(2001BA601B01020103),天津市科委资助项目(013013211)
摘    要:应用应力触发理论原理,基于断层相互作用理论,研究了川滇地区6级以上地震的库仑破裂应力变化。初步结果表明,后续强震大多发生在前一地震所触发的应力增长区,这证明了强震之间是相互作用、相互影响的。即强震是成组孕育、成组发生的,这对强震的地点预测有一定实际意义。

关 键 词:断层相互作用理论  应力触发  强震  地震  地点预测  库仑破裂应力  成组孕育  成组发生
文章编号:1000-3274(2003)03-0051-06
修稿时间:2002年6月9日

Preliminary study on strong earthquake occurred in groups based on the theory of fault interaction
Abstract:According to the principle of earthquake stress triggering theory, based on the principle of fault interaction, the authors studied Coulomb failure stress chang e of earthquakes with magnitude above 6 in the Southeast China area. The prelimi nary result indicates that subsequent strong earthquakes mostly occurred in the tress increasing area caused by the previous earthquakes. It proves the strong e arthquakes are interactive, that is to say, strong earthquakes are prepared and occurred in groups. It might be of practical significance in the prediction of e arthquake risk areas.
Keywords:Earthquake stress triggering  Coulomb failure stress  Seismicity in groups
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