省际区域入境旅游的边界效应——以北部湾为例

北部湾区域旅游合作加快了环北部湾的广西、广东与海南三省区入境旅游的发展。该文以1999—2008年为样本数据,运用Barro回归方程及引力模型对北部湾三省区的入境旅游人数进行定量分析,发现省级行政区边界对区域旅游合作存在明显的边界效应,并影响区域旅游发展的进程。研究表明:在1998—2003年、2004—2008年两个时段,广西与广东之间的边界效应始终存在,且呈上升趋势;广西与海南之间的边界效应逐渐减弱;广东与海南之间的边界效应不显著;而广西与广东的边界效应增速明显高于广西与海南之间的边界效应增速。边界效应的形成机理可以从历史条件、发展水平、交通设施、制度创新4方面予以诠释。

A Quantitative Evaluation on the Border Effect for Inbound Tourism of Provincial Border Regions:A Case Study of Beibu Gulf

Regional tourism cooperation of the Beibu Gulf is advancing the development of inbound tourism among Guangxi,Guangdong and Hainan.By using the methods of Barro and gravity mode,the quantitative measurement of the development of inbound tourism between Guangxi,Guangdong and Hainan is made from 1998 to 2008,which reveals that the provincial border exerts great border effect on the integration of regional tourism.Further regression analysis indicates that the border effect between Guangxi and Guangdong is increasing in the years from 1998 to 2003 and 2004 to 2008;the border effect is gradually reduced between Guangxi and Hainan and is not indistinctive between Guangdong and Hainan;and the border effect between Guangxi and Guangdong is obviously higher than that between Guangxi and Hainan.The mechanism of the border effect should be discussed from historical conditions,development level,transportation infrastructure,and institutional innovation.