| 临汾市森林火险等级预报系统及其应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 戴有学,代淑媚,郑峰燕,丁锐钦,郭勤芳.临汾市森林火险等级预报系统及其应用[J].气象科技,2008,36(6):826-829. |
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| 作者姓名： | 戴有学 代淑媚 郑峰燕 丁锐钦 郭勤芳 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 山西省临汾市气象局,临汾,041000;兰州大学大气科学学院,兰州,730000
2. 山西省临汾市气象局,临汾,041000 |
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| 基金项目： | 临汾市科委课题
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| 摘 要： | 针对临汾市森林分布面广,每年火情来得早,而且易燃的人工油松林面积较大,是山西的火灾易发区等实际情况,利用1986～2003年18年临汾市有关气象及森林火灾资料,回顾性地分析了森林火灾的发生与气象条件、火源条件及森林含水率的关系,计算了森林火险综合预报指标,前瞻性地建立起交叉学科的综合火险预报方程,经试用效果较好,对森林火灾发生有一定的预报预警能力.
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| 关 键 词： | 森林火险 火险因子 等级预报 |
| 收稿时间： | 2007/12/17 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 3/3/2008 12:00:00 AM |
Forest Fire Risk Rating Forecast System for Linfen and Its Application |
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| Dai Youxue,Dai Shumei,Zheng Fengyan,Ding Ruiqin and Guo Qinfang.Forest Fire Risk Rating Forecast System for Linfen and Its Application[J].Meteorological Science and Technology,2008,36(6):826-829. |
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| Authors: | Dai Youxue Dai Shumei Zheng Fengyan Ding Ruiqin and Guo Qinfang |
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| Abstract: | With a large area of forest, Linfen is one of fire prone regions in Shaanxi Province. Using the meteorological and forest fire data from 1986 to 2003, an analysis is made of the relation between forest fire occurrence and meteorological conditions, fire hazard conditions, and forest moisture content. The synthesis forecast index of forest fire risk is calculated, and a synthesis multi factor fire risk forecast equation is established. The application proved that it has satisfactory effectiveness and certain capability of forest fire forecasting and early warning. |
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| Keywords: | forest fire risk index rating forecast |
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