Influence of the Eastern Pacific and Central Pacific Types of ENSO on the South Asian Summer Monsoon |
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Authors: | Fangxing FAN Renping LIN Xianghui FANG Feng XUE Fei ZHENG Jiang ZHU |
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Institution: | International Center for Climate and Environment Sciences,Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100029,China;Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences&Institute of Atmospheric Sciences,Fudan University,Shanghai 200438,China |
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Abstract: | Based on observational and reanalysis data,the relationships between the eastern Pacific(EP)and central Pacific(CP)types of El Nino-Southern Oscillation(ENSO)during the developing summer and the South Asian summer monsoon(SASM)are examined.The roles of these two types of ENSO on the SASM experienced notable multidecadal modulation in the late 1970s.While the inverse relationship between the EP type of ENSO and the SASM has weakened dramatically,the CP type of ENSO plays a far more prominent role in producing anomalous Indian monsoon rainfall after the late 1970s.The drought-producing El Nino warming of both the EP and CP types can excite anomalous rising motion of the Walker circulation concentrated in the equatorial central Pacific around 160°W to the date line.Accordingly,compensatory subsidence anomalies are evident from the Maritime Continent to the Indian subcontinent,leading to suppressed convection and decreased precipitation over these regions.Moreover,anomalously less moisture flux into South Asia associated with developing EP El Nino and significant northwesterly anomalies dominating over southern India accompanied by developing CP El Nino,may also have been responsible for the Indian monsoon droughts during the pre-1979 and post-1979 sub-periods,respectively.El Nino events with the same"flavor"may not necessarily produce consistent Indian monsoon rainfall anomalies,while similar Indian monsoon droughts may be induced by different types of El Nino,implying high sensitivity of monsoonal precipitation to the detailed configuration of ENSO forcing imposed on the tropical Pacific. |
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Keywords: | South Asian summer monsoon ENSO moisture flux convergence-divergence El Nino developing summer multidecadal modulation |
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