| 气候变化与城市全要素生产率：理论与实证 |
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| 引用本文： | 张豪,谭静,张建华.气候变化与城市全要素生产率：理论与实证[J].气候变化研究进展,2018,14(2):165-174. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张豪 谭静 张建华 |
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| 作者单位： | 1.中国航空综合技术研究所,北京 1000282 华中科技大学经济学院,武汉 4300743 华中科技大学国家治理研究院,武汉 430074 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家重点研发计划“NQI对国民经济和社会发展贡献研究”(2016YFF0204202);国家社科基金重大项目“基于创新驱动的产业结构优化升级研究”(12&ZD045） |
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| 摘 要： | 利用1994—2014年中国城市数据探讨气候变化对城市全要素生产率（TFP）的影响。研究发现：气候变化（气温变化和降水量变化）对城市TFP均有负面影响,其中降水量的影响更显著,但对中国东部地区城市的TFP影响不明显;经济发展水平越高的城市,其TFP受气候变化的影响越小,而经济发展水平越低,这种影响就越显著;城市产业结构越趋合理,天气与气候的影响越低,反之则影响越大。其中降水量的变化对三大产业都有影响,对第一产业影响最显著。
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| 关 键 词： | 气候变化 城市 全要素生产率（TFP） |
| 收稿时间： | 2017-05-02 |
| 修稿时间： | 2017-06-01 |
Climate change and urban total factor productivity:theory and empirical analysis |
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| Hao ZHANG,Jing TAN,Jian-Hua ZHANG.Climate change and urban total factor productivity:theory and empirical analysis[J].Advances in Climate Change,2018,14(2):165-174. |
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| Authors: | Hao ZHANG Jing TAN Jian-Hua ZHANG |
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| Institution: | 1.China Aeronautical Comprehensive Technology Institute, Beijing 100028, China2 School of Economics Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074, China3 The Institute of State Governance, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074, China; |
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| Abstract: | This paper discusses the impact of climate change on urban total factor productivity (TFP) by using Chinese city data in 1994-2014. The results are as follows. Climate change (changes in temperature and precipitation) has negative impact on urban TFP. The influence of precipitation is more significant, but the impact of TFP on the eastern China cities is not obvious. The higher level of the economic development of the city, the smaller impact on its TFP by weather and climate change, and vice versa. The more reasonable urban industrial structure, the lower impact of weather and climate, the more unbalanced, the greater impact. Among them, the precipitation change has influence on the three major industries, and has the most significant impact on the first industry. |
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| Keywords: | Climate change City Total factor productivity (TFP) |
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