乡−城、城−城流动人口落户意愿的影响因素及其差异

基于2017年全国流动人口动态监测数据定量比较分析了乡?城和城?城流动人口落户意愿的影响因素及差异。研究发现：① 总体而言，城?城流动人口的落户意愿显著高于乡?城，户籍价值、社会融入对两类流动人口的落户意愿有显著影响，但影响程度在两类人群间存在差异。② 流出地的户籍价值显著阻碍了乡?城流动人口的落户意愿；流入地的户籍价值、经济方面的整合融入对城?城流动人口落户意愿的影响更显著。③ 户籍价值、社会融入对流动人口落户意愿的影响存在城市规模及流动距离分异。④ 产生上述差异的根本原因是不同户籍身份所塑造的价值观念和行为模式等的差异。

Different Factors Influencing the Hukou Transfer Intention of Rural-urban and Urban-urban Floating Population

Based on the national dynamic monitoring data of the floating population in 2017, using the binary logistic regression model and SUEST inspection, this paper makes an empirical study and further analysis of the influencing factors on the Hukou transfer intention of the rural-urban and urban-urban floating population and draws the following conclusions: 1) In general, the Hukou transfer intention of urban-urban floating population is significantly higher than that of the rural-urban floating population. The household register value and social assimilation have significant impacts on the Hukou transfer intention of the two types of floating population, but the degree of influence is different between the two. 2) In comparison, the household register value of the outflow place significantly hinders the Hukou transfer intention of rural-urban migrants, and has a weak influence on the Hukou transfer intention of urban-urban migrants. The household register value of the destination and social assimilation have a more significant impact on the Hukou transfer intention of urban-urban floating population. 3) The impact of household registration value and social assimilation on the floating population’s Hukou transfer intention is different in cities and the distance of migration. 4) The root cause of these differences are the differences in values and behavior patterns shaped by different household registration identities.