A preliminary assessment of social risk in Romania

Social risk is seen as endemic in the postmodern world of 'glocalisation', especially in cities competing for a place in the global economy while simultaneously seeking to contain tensions between a kaleidoscopic mix of urban interests and life styles. Transition economies in Eastern Europe are very much at risk, especially in southeastern Europe where a general decline in living standards heightens tension as large cities are threatened with heavy unemployment. Several indicators of social risk are examined at the county level in Romania, but it is evident that while there are some close correlations between unemployment on the one hand and labour unrest, divorce and criminality on the other this is not always the case. Some counties have remained stable despite high unemployment while others manifest high social risk with below-average unemployment. Further research is needed to assess risk on a regional basis more accurately, but it is clear that the electorate will continue to vent its anger on incumbent governments when necessary restructuring does not immediately attract new investment and job creation. This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.