中期天气客观相似预报方法 |
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引用本文: | 钟元,李秀莉,姚嘉玲,朱美娜. 中期天气客观相似预报方法[J]. 气象, 1988, 14(4): 8-11 |
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作者姓名: | 钟元 李秀莉 姚嘉玲 朱美娜 |
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作者单位: | 浙江省气象科学研究所(钟元),浙江省气象台(李秀莉,姚嘉玲),杭州市气象台(朱美娜) |
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摘 要: | 本文提出了一个10天中期天气客观相似预报方法。该方法应用预报时刻的最新信息及中期数值预报输出产品,按客观的相似判据,应用微电脑从历史资料中寻找出500hPa天气形势演变的相似过程,据此作出10天中期天气预报。业务应用表明,该方法对10天中期天气过程具有一定的预报能力。
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An objective analogue method for medium-range weather forecast |
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Abstract: | An objective analogue method for medium- ange (a period of ten days) weather forecast is developed. Using the lated Information and medium-range numerical prediction products and objective analogue criterion, an analogue process by which the weather forecast in a period of 10 days will be made in 500hPa synoptic evolution from past data is found by microcomputer. The forecasting results indicated thatthis method is efficacious. |
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