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Some Unique Characteristics of Atmospheric Interannual Variability in Rainfall Time Series over India and the United Kingdom
作者姓名:A. Mary Selvam  J. S. Pethkar  M. K. Kulkarni
作者单位:(A. Mary Selvam,J. S. Pethkar and M. K. KulkarniIndian Institute of Tropical Meteorology,Pune 411008,India
摘    要:SomeUniqueCharacteristicsofAtmosphericInterannualVariabilityinRainfallTimeSeriesoverIndiaandtheUnitedKingdom¥(A.MarySelvam,J....

收稿时间:26 September 1994

Some unique characteristics of atmospheric interannual variability in rainfall time series over India and the United Kingdom
A. Mary Selvam,J. S. Pethkar,M. K. Kulkarni.Some unique characteristics of atmospheric interannual variability in rainfall time series over India and the United Kingdom[J].Advances in Atmospheric Sciences,1995,12(3):377-385.
Authors:A Mary Selvam  J S Pethkar  M K Kulkarni
Institution:Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune 411008, India,Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune 411008, India,Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune 411008, India
Abstract:Continuous periodogram analyses of two 50-years (1871-1920 and 1936- 1985) of summer monsoon rainfall over the Indian region and one 84-years set (1893-1976) of winter half-year rainfall over England and Wales show that the power spectra of disparate rainfall regimes follow the universal and unique inverse power law form of the sta-tistical normal distribution with the percentage contribution to total variance representating the eddy probability cor-responding to the normalized standard deviation equal to (log L / log T50)-l] where L is the period in years and T50 the period up to which the cumulative percentage contribution to total variance is equal to 50. The above results are consistent with a recently developed non-deterministic cell dynamical system model for atmospheric flows. The im-plications or the above results for prediction of interannual variability of rainfall is discussed.
Keywords:Interannual variability in rainfall  Chaos  Fractals  Self-organized criticality
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