Temporal variations of seismicity parameters in the Central Alborz,Iran

Temporal changes of b-value, fractal (correlation) dimensions of epicenters (D _e ) and occurrence time of earthquakes (D _t ) and relations between these parameters were calculated to investigate precursory changes before 28 May 2004, Baladeh-Kojour earthquake (M _w = 6.3) of Central Alborz, Iran. 2086 events with M _N ≥ 1.7 were selected for our analyses. A wide range of variation was seen in these parameters: b-value ～ 0.6–1.11, D _e ～ 0.97–1.64, and D _t ～ 0.13–0.93. The results showed decreases in all fractal parameters several months before the main shock. This decrease, which might have arisen due to clusters of events occurred between 2002–2003, was followed by a systematic increase, corresponding to the increased level of low-magnitude seismicity. It seems that changes in fractal parameters may be precursors of Baladeh-Kojour earthquake which was caused by seismic activation and quiescence. Furthermore, a positive correlation between b-value and D _e was detected before the main shock (D _e = 0.87 + 0.7b) and during aftershock sequences (D _e = 2b ± 0.09), which was further on changed to a negative one (D _e = 2.56–1.32b).