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塔里木河断流与未来水文情势分析
引用本文:叶朝霞,陈亚宁,张霞,毛晓辉,罗江燕.塔里木河断流与未来水文情势分析[J].干旱区地理,2009,32(6).
作者姓名:叶朝霞  陈亚宁  张霞  毛晓辉  罗江燕
作者单位:1. 中国科学院绿洲生态与荒漠环境重点实验室,中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所,新疆乌鲁木齐,830011
2. 中国科学院绿洲生态与荒漠环境重点实验室,中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所,新疆乌鲁木齐,830011;新疆农业大学草业与环境科学学院,新疆乌鲁木齐830052
3. 塔里木河流域管理局,新疆库尔勒,841000
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(No.90502004); 中国科学院知识创新工程重要方向项目(No.KZCX2-YW-Q10-3-4,No.KZCX2-YW-Q10-3)
摘    要:采用灰色拓扑模型对塔里木河三源流及干流径流趋势进行分析预测,研究结果表明未来五年内阿克苏河与和田河径流量不具有明显上升趋势,而叶尔羌河径流量在未来五年内则出现下降趋势,这种情况将加剧干流断流的现状。在上述研究的基础上,作者还对博斯腾湖大山口站径流变化趋势和车尔臣河水系对台特玛湖的作用进行分析,探讨了向塔里木河输水的可持续性问题。

关 键 词:塔里木河  断流  水文情势  

Dried-up riverway of Tarim River and the future state of hydrology
YE Zhao-xia,CHEN Ya-ning,ZHANG Xia,MAO Xiao-hui,LUO Jiang-yan.Dried-up riverway of Tarim River and the future state of hydrology[J].Arid Land Geography,2009,32(6).
Authors:YE Zhao-xia  CHEN Ya-ning  ZHANG Xia  MAO Xiao-hui  LUO Jiang-yan
Institution:YE Zhao-xia1,CHEN Ya-ning1,ZHANG Xia1,2,MAO Xiao-hui3,LUO Jiang-yan1(1 Key Laboratory of Oasis Ecology and Desert Environment,Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Urumqi 830011,Xinjiang,China,2 College of Pratacultural and Environmental Sciences,Xinjiang Agriculture University,Urumqi 830052,3 Tarim river basin management administration,Korla 841000,China)
Abstract:The Tarim River,in the south of the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region,in western China,is the longest arid and inland river in China and is also one of the most famous ones in the world.Possessing rich natural resources and a vulnerable environment are the characteristics of the Tarim River.The ecosystems in the Tarim River basin are extremely fragile and susceptible to disturbances due to severe lack of water resources.Environment of the lower reaches of the Tarim River was improved by 9 times water conveya...
Keywords:the Tarim River  dried-up riverway  hydrological state  
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