略论非线性地质理论与矿业跨越式发展

我国是一个处于工业化进程中的发展中国家,资源消耗处于增长阶段,资源型产业将长期占有相当重要的地位和比重。矿产资源紧缺是制约未来经济 社会发展的突出矛盾之一。实现矿业跨越式发展的关键是通过引进、消化、应用新成矿理论、找矿新技术和方法,寻找大型－超大型矿和提高资源利用水平。现已证实成矿系统是一个远离平衡的非线性系统,具有混沌属性,它客观上要求必须在短临尺度上进行短临成矿预测。大型－超大型矿床作为一类巨型突变事件的产物,是超常规的、独特的、非线性的,因此应用非线性理论能有效提高找矿效果,找到大矿在较短时期内构筑后发优势,实现矿业跨越式发展战略。

A preliminary study on the nonlinear geological theory and leap development in the mining industry

China is a developing country which is being in industrial progress, the drain on the national resources is on the increase, the resources-type industry will occupy an extremely important place for a long term. The lack of the mineral resources in one of the sharp contradictions, which will restrict economic development in the future. The key that realize the leap development in mining industry is to introduce, understand, and apply a new metallogenic theory, advanced technology and method, discover large, super-large mineral deposits and raise the utilization level of the natural resources. At present, it has been verified that metallogenic system is far from equilibrium, a nonlinear system, which has a turbid attribute. Objectively speaking, it should make a "short-temporary" metallogenic prognosis based upon the yardstick of "short-temporary". The large, super-large deposits are products of the events through tremendous changes which is a specific, unique, nonlinear. Thus, to apply nonlinear theory can get an effective result for prospecting, forming a post-development superiority in a short-term and realizing the leap developmental strategy of the mining industry.